Muchomota

Bob and Uncle Tau: The Two Layers (Part 2 of 2) — More Floors

Previously in Part 1: Bob had been reading Diaconis-Ethier 2022 — the paper where ICM disagrees with gambler’s-ruin elimination probabilities by a…

Apr 22 • FelixD

The Two Layers (Part 1 of 2)

In which Bob tries to figure out whether a paper by Persi Diaconis means ICM is wrong, and Uncle Tau explains that the question itself is a category…

Apr 20 • FelixD

March 2026

The Roman Extraction

Date: March 2026 Location: Helsinki, Finland — Sam’s Apartment Status: Sam is free.

Mar 23 • FelixD

5

January 2026

The Mathematics of the Professional Poker Tourist

Date: Jan 30, 2026

Jan 30 • FelixD

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Notebooklm this is not even terrible.

So this is a short Post writing without the help of the soon all encompassing robot army i justed wanted to point out the input to this is a simple well…

Jan 20 • FelixD

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6:44

El Combo

Date: June 1, 2026

Jan 5 • FelixD

5

December 2025

The 2026 Protocol: Engineering Freedom (And The Market As A Mirror)

Date: December 29, 2025

Dec 29, 2025 • FelixD

6

September 2025

The Mota Tool and how much you should sell in the Wcoop Main

Beta Testers

Sep 16, 2025 • FelixD

3

August 2025

The Real Game: How a Day 2 Market Changes Your Day 1 Strategy

Derek Wolters’ recent Substack article, "The Benefits of Selling Late Stage Action," is a welcome and necessary catalyst for a conversation our industry…

Aug 27, 2025 • FelixD

4

The Ghost in the Machine is Dying

There’s a ghost story that haunts the European poker world.

Aug 10, 2025 • FelixD

3

July 2025

Brinkmanship as a Default: The Game Theory of "ICM is for Pussies"

There are few phrases in poker so tied to one person as Doug Polk's declaration: "ICM is for pussies." It's typically framed as a battle between…

Jul 1, 2025 • FelixD

2

June 2025

On Entropy (And Other Excuses for a Bad River Call)

The Finnish high-stakes legend Elmerixx famously said that at the highest levels, " Our job is to handle uncertainty." This is a deceptively simple…

Jun 24, 2025 • FelixD

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